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Forecast
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NWS Winter Weather Advisory (Mitchell County)

Current Conditions
Bakersville

Temp: 65.9°F
Printer Friendly View
Bakersville , NC

Forecast Last Updated at Wednesday, November 26, 2014 at 3:14PM

Wetter Train; Colder Caboose

We have seen some wild predictions floating around. Temperatures made this morning's snow very elevation dependent. We "held the line" on forecast accumulations (there's been some really outrageous stuff floating around social media, please learn to ignore that mindless forecast chatter).
Higher elevations (above 4000') ended up with several inches of snow, but most of the region didn't change over to snow until closer to sunrise. Temperatures remained marginal, inhibiting accumulations. The first round of precipitation has ended south of Boone and will end shortly for areas further north.
After a break for about 10-12 hours, a trailing clipper-type low will spread another 1"-2" of snow across the region (maybe 3" on mountaintops). The caboose-snow arrives around midnight tonight with snow showers and flurries lingering through much of Thanksgiving Day. Click here for a slightly revised Forecast Snow Total Map.

The 2015 Blue Ridge Parkway Calendar makes the perfect "From the Mountains" Christmas Present. Our photo contest yet again produced brilliant photography your friends and family can enjoy all year. You can purchase calendars at our Amazon Store or many fine retailers across the area.

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Wednesday

Hi: 42 Lo: 26

Light snow & flurries taper off this afternoon with a few peaks of sun; Snow showers redevelop after midnight tonight; NW wind 5-15 mph
Thursday

Hi: 37 Lo: 20

Mostly to partly cloudy; Daytime snow showers & flurries; Colder; NW wind 5-15 mph, gusty
Friday

Hi: 42 Lo: 23

Mostly sunny; Cold; NW wind 5-15 mph, gusty early, diminishing in the PM
Saturday

Hi: 51 Lo: 33

Scattered clouds; Cool
Sunday

Hi: 60 Lo: 40

Partly cloudy; Seasonally pleasant

Further Out

Monday - Increasing clouds; Chance of rain showers late; High in the mid 60s; Low in the lower 40s
Tuesday - Cloudy; Cooler; Cannot rule out a shower or two; High in the mid 50s; Low in the upper 30s

Forecast Discussion

Bottom line on the current event... The coastal low tracked farther west. It will hug the coast all the way into New England and Nova Scotia through tomorrow. That west drift allowed more precipitation into our region; however, it prevented cold air from arriving in time to make a big snow event for most of the Southern Appalachians.

But there will be some "winners"... Above 4000' rain changed to snow by 4AM today, and many locations had a couple inches on the ground by sunrise. You'll hear of mountaintop accumulation reaching the inflated, silly chatter forecast totals. But for most of the region, we'll only end up with light accumulations: 1-4 generally, less below 2800' and more above 4000'. It will all be over by noon (by 10AM south of Boone and a bit longer in SW VA). We may even see the sun pop out this afternoon briefly and many locations below 4000' will melt all the snow.

Then comes the caboose... A clipper low races out of the Northern Plains today. It will pass through the Southern Appalachians early Thursday morning. It will be colder and all snow. Snow and snow showers develop after midnight tonight; then expect snow showers and flurries for much of Thanksgiving Day. Most of the region will pick up another 1"-2", less right along the Blue Ridge, a tad more on western mountaintops.

Friday through noon Monday, high pressure will be in control as it moves from the Western Great Lakes southeast across our region. Temperatures will be cold Friday, then gradually moderate Saturday through Monday.

The next front arrives Monday evening with the chance of a rain shower or two late Monday and Monday night. Tuesday, high pressure to our north wedges down the Appalachians producing clouds, cooler temperatures, and the slight chance for a rain shower.

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